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Yuschenko: historical times
Spectator
Journalism
The world in 2020
The world in 2020 will not see a new world order, but a competition between four ideas of how the world should be run: an American world striving for a balance of power that favours democracy; a 'Eurosphere' whose support for democracy is coupled with a belief in international institutions; an 'axis of sovereignty' led by China and Russia that sees multilateral institutions as protection from western interference; and a Middle Eastern 'faith zone', defined neither by democracy nor the rule of law. This essay sketches the outlines of the 'quadripolar world' that is awaiting us.
No . . . to boule and Pastis
Europe - Don't write the obituaries yet. A new France could put Britain on the sidelines
'Embrace India, engage China, roll back Russia'
Many blame foreign policy for wrecking Labour's second term. But Mark Leonard says a new global strategy must have democracy at its heart
The Battle for China's Future
New Left or "Neo-Comm"? Capitalism or Social Democracy? Co-existence or Containment? The routes open are many - but no one, least of all China, seems to know which way it will go
Churchill Worship
Maybe this is his finest hour. He is dead and buried in his home country, a venerable figure of history. But in the US, Churchill is alive and well, reborn as an American idol, the most powerful role model for the neo-cons. On January 21, President Bush issued a letter offering "greetings to all those observing the 40th anniversary of the death of Sir Winston Churchill". Not that the president's acolytes need much encouragement. The more discerning neo-cons have been celebrating Churchill's birthday for years. James Mann's portrait of Bush's foreign policy team, Rise of the Vulcans, describes how Leo Strauss, their ideologue-in-chief, turned Churchill-worship into a central tenet of neo-conservatism as early as the 1950s. Mann describes how every year the leading Straussians, including deputy secretary of defense Paul Wolfowitz, convene in Washington to sip brandy and smoke cigars on Churchill's birthday. But their celebrations are as nothing compared with the Winston Churchill Society, which recreates the wartime premier's decadent habits. Their annual dinner was held last autumn in the Lansdowne Resort in Virginia - a recreation of Churchill's 88th birthday meal at London's Savoy, where beef Wellington, oyster bisque with Devon cream, cracked pepper-seared turbot and Pol Roger Champagne were served.
Grandma Raftify My Constitution
"People have been texting saying: don't worry, it's all total politics." These words might have soothed a tearful Javine when she failed to rack up more than 18 points in the Eurovision Song Contest, but they are not much comfort to the beleaguered French and Dutch "yes" campaigns left reeling by the results of Europe's most popular kitsch-fest. The song competition voting seemed to sum up European politics all too convincingly: "New Europe" up, "old Europe" down, and Holland nowhere to be seen at all. In France, which came second from last (above Germany), the glitzy contest confirmed all the Gallic suspicions of a European continent moving in a liberal, expansionist, Anglo-Saxon direction.
International implications of "China's Peaceful Rise
China has already acquired a vast amount of "virtual power" – based not on its actual assets but on its potential. The momentum behind China's rise is creating a lot of excitement and good will towards the People's Republic all over the world. China Hype is omnipresent. This creates an opportunity and a challenge. The opportunity is the chance for China to define itself in the minds of the international public and elites that have not focused very much on China in the past – before things get locked in place. The minds of many European policy-makers are a blank canvas that China can fill in from scratch. The challenge is that many people are trying to define China in a more negative way. If China is seen as "the new Bush" in the public mind – using its power to secure its own objectives, being systematically unhelpful on global problems it could become stuck in that framework for a long period of time.
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Why Europe can survive a French Non
Should, as recent polls suggest, the French vote non to ratifying the European Constitution on May 29, there is no reason to imagine the EU won't emerge from that experience stronger once again. Of course, opinion polls have a tendency to be wrong, and there are hopes in Europe that the pro-constitution lobby will now come out fighting. But even in the event of a Gallic no, the Euroskeptics should not take too much heart. Rather than spelling the end of the European project, this referendum points to an EU that is maturing politically.
EU economy not all doom and gloom
On 22 March 2002, I took part in a debate organised by the Stockholm Network that asked "is Europe Doomed". Garerth Harding wrote it up in the Washington Times
Louder than Bombs
Peter Apsden writes about my latest pamphlet, "British Public Diplomacy in the 'Age of Schisms'"
Tangerine Dream
The orange regalia of Al-Ghad's reformists seemed to herald a new dawn in authoritarian Egypt - until the party's leader was jailed. Can the glimmer of democracy be kept alive?
Europe's Ascent
Because news is told by journalists rather than historians, Europe's power is easy to miss. But a new kind of power has evolved which is about spreading your norms rather than getting your way on each decision
Europe's Transformative Power
Beneath the facade of European weakness, a giant is stirring that is re-inventing power for the 21st Century
Chinese Soft Power
Don't just judge power in terms of dollars and tanks, it is China's Soft Power that is changing the world
The US Heads Home: Will Europe Regret It?
The assertive policy of George W. Bush was supported by three factions that are now blaming eachother for the mess in Iraq. What went wrong with the 'Bush Revolution' -and is the US on the verge of isolationism again?
Why Tony Needs a Tory
How to Win the Referendum on the European Counstitution
Robert McNamara
Robert McNamara, Defence Secretary to JFK and LBJ, talks about his crucial role in the Cuban Missile Crisis and says that his experience in the Vietnam War convinced him of the need for an international criminal court. Even if it could mean his own record coming under scrutiny.
Liberty, equality, property
The third-world poor hold assets worth as much as all the companies listed on the world's main stock exchanges. So why are they poor?
Powerhousing
The coolest architect on the plant is designing buildings that project political power
The left should love globalisation
Antonio Negri, a Marxist sentenced to 30 years for supporting terrorism in Italy, has now turned conventional thinking on its head.
The Coca-Cola man who had a vision
Craig Cohon got very near the top in selling fizzy drinks. Then he heard Bill Clinton speak and gave it all up to help the poor
China and US
By 2020 China will be on the verge of superseding the US as the world's leading economic power. Time for the US to wake up and smell the soy sauce.
Welcome to the 'Smart Strike'
Unions get a bad press if they hurt the public. The wiser ones are exploring new ways to get what they want
You can't get away from the party - UK political parties
Far from being moribund, political parties control everything from school governors to magistrates. Mark Leonard thinks they should do even more
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A mirror of ourselves
THE INTERNET GALAXY: REFLECTIONS ON THE INTERNET, BUSINESS AND SOCIETY, Manuel Castells Oxford University Press, 29pp, £14.99
The end of privacy
Review of DANGEROUS DATA, Adam Lury and Simon Gibson Bantam Press. 272pp, £ 9.99
Review of Robert Kagan's Paradise and Power
Life on Mars: I take issue with the most talked-about book of the year
Mighty Europe
After the divisions of the last year, the European Union's Security Strategy marks the chance for a new beginning
The Jewish Dilemma
As Israel goes into election season many Jews around the world feel torn.